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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: peach twig borer [stone fruits]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: 2007 USU Ext.
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: 1st consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps
(ca. 405 DD after Mar 1 or Jan 1 in warm climates)
Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 15
Ending date: 9 30
Model validation status: requires local validation
Region of known use: used in NW USA
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 55 DDs after biofix: OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
2. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
3. 350 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
4. 500 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
5. 684 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
6. 1080 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
7. 1280 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
8. 1500 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
9. 1760 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
10. 2240 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
11. 2580 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight
12. 2820 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 3rd gen. 4% male flight
13. 3180 DDs after biofix: 4th gen. ca. 13% egg hatch (warmer climates only)
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF25442 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Klepper OR Lat45.9600 Long:-118.4106 Elev:908
mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
5 26 70.50 54.50 0.00 12.50 12.5 * START *
5 27 67.30 51.30 0.00 9.30 21.8
5 28 75.90 49.90 0.00 12.90 34.7
5 29 78.90 55.70 0.00 17.30 52.0
5 30 75.30 49.80 0.00 12.56 64.6 OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
5 31 84.00 48.00 0.00 16.20 80.8
6 1 85.00 51.70 0.00 18.35 99.1
6 2 76.80 64.60 0.00 20.70 119.8
6 3 87.00 57.20 0.00 22.10 141.9
6 4 94.90 52.70 0.00 22.60 164.5
6 5 95.40 56.40 0.00 24.50 189.0
6 6 99.10 69.80 0.00 31.42 220.4 Vx 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
6 7 95.00 68.60 0.00 30.23 250.7
6 8 87.40 68.90 0.00 28.15 278.8
6 9 78.20 60.30 0.00 19.25 298.1
6 10 68.70 54.50 0.04 11.60 309.7
6 11 70.90 50.60 0.00 10.75 320.4
6 12 78.80 47.70 0.00 13.52 333.9
6 13 74.10 57.00 0.00 15.55 349.5
6 14 69.30 51.80 0.00 10.55 360.0 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
6 15 67.10 48.30 0.00 7.92 367.9
6 16 68.90 47.80 0.02 8.65 376.6
6 17 77.60 47.20 0.02 12.76 389.4
6 18 67.70 55.80 0.09 11.75 401.1
6 19 77.60 46.60 0.00 12.58 413.7
6 20 81.30 48.10 0.00 14.89 428.6 Vx
6 21 80.40 58.50 0.00 19.45 448.0
6 22 87.70 49.40 0.00 18.58 466.6
6 23 80.20 63.10 0.00 21.65 488.3
6 24 74.50 55.70 0.00 15.10 503.4 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
6 25 80.70 51.20 0.00 15.95 519.3
6 26 90.50 50.30 0.00 20.13 539.5
6 27 93.40 56.20 0.00 23.91 563.4 Vx
6 28 94.50 67.30 0.00 29.52 592.9
6 29 94.30 64.50 0.00 28.14 621.0 Vx
6 30 90.30 65.70 0.00 27.70 648.7 Vx Vn
7 1 92.90 60.90 0.00 26.07 674.8
7 2 89.80 64.00 0.00 26.70 701.5 Vx 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
7 3 85.50 69.20 0.00 27.35 728.8 Vx
7 4 82.30 54.90 0.00 18.60 747.4
7 5 81.00 57.30 0.00 19.15 766.6
7 6 78.50 61.50 0.00 20.00 786.6
7 7 81.50 61.00 0.00 21.25 807.8 Vx
7 8 77.70 61.50 0.11 19.60 827.4 Vx
7 9 78.20 59.10 0.06 18.65 846.1
7 10 69.80 59.40 0.00 14.60 860.7
7 11 77.30 59.80 0.00 18.55 879.2
7 12 79.00 59.00 0.02 19.00 898.2
7 13 83.30 59.40 0.00 21.35 919.6 Vx
7 14 89.70 53.80 0.00 21.59 941.2 Vx
7 15 81.30 60.10 0.00 20.70 961.9 Vx
7 16 83.50 60.60 0.00 22.05 983.9 Vx
7 17 87.90 56.30 0.00 22.10 1006.0 Vx
7 18 81.60 61.70 0.00 21.65 1027.7
7 19 80.30 60.20 0.00 20.25 1047.9
7 20 87.30 62.10 0.00 24.70 1072.6 Vx
7 21 94.80 55.80 0.00 24.07 1096.7 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
7 22 82.90 65.90 0.00 24.40 1121.1 Vx
7 23 84.30 56.80 0.00 20.55 1141.7
7 24 90.10 55.50 0.00 22.58 1164.2 Vx
7 25 96.60 60.20 0.00 26.58 1190.8 Vx
7 26 95.30 71.40 0.00 31.58 1222.4 Vx
7 27 92.20 68.00 0.05 29.34 1251.7
7 28 95.00 67.30 0.04 29.62 1281.4 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
7 29 101.60 69.50 0.00 31.61 1313.0 Vx
7 30 94.60 71.60 0.00 31.55 1344.5 Vx
7 31 84.80 59.90 0.00 22.35 1366.9
8 1 90.40 56.50 0.00 23.18 1390.0 Vx Vn
8 2 78.40 62.30 0.00 20.35 1410.4 Vx Vn
8 3 83.60 57.00 0.00 20.30 1430.7 Vx
8 4 92.70 53.50 0.00 22.40 1453.1 Vx Vn
8 5 90.50 55.60 0.01 22.76 1475.9
8 6 87.40 64.00 0.00 25.70 1501.6 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
8 7 82.80 60.00 0.00 21.40 1523.0 Vx
8 8 75.90 52.80 0.00 14.35 1537.3
8 9 72.50 57.30 0.00 14.90 1552.2
8 10 84.10 58.20 0.00 21.15 1573.4 Vx
8 11 90.10 57.50 0.00 23.57 1596.9 Vx Vn
8 12 95.50 57.00 0.00 24.82 1621.7 Vx
8 13 97.60 57.70 0.00 25.60 1647.3 Vx
8 14 95.50 70.30 0.00 31.11 1678.5 Vx Vn
8 15 95.70 63.20 0.00 27.82 1706.3 Vx Vn
8 16 91.90 64.40 0.05 27.52 1733.8
8 17 88.50 64.60 0.03 26.52 1760.3 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
8 18 96.50 61.80 0.00 27.32 1787.6 Vx
8 19 86.70 57.10 0.00 21.90 1809.5
8 20 91.70 58.60 0.05 24.62 1834.1
8 21 94.40 62.30 0.00 27.11 1861.3
8 22 79.60 55.20 0.00 17.40 1878.7
8 23 82.80 51.20 0.00 17.00 1895.7
8 24 86.70 57.20 0.00 21.95 1917.6 Vx
8 25 89.50 51.10 0.00 20.17 1937.8
8 26 88.70 51.50 0.03 20.06 1957.8
8 27 88.30 71.70 0.02 29.98 1987.8
8 28 85.70 64.80 0.03 25.25 2013.1
8 29 91.80 56.30 0.00 23.52 2036.6 Vx
8 30 81.30 62.50 0.00 21.90 2058.5
8 31 83.00 57.50 0.00 20.25 2078.7
9 1 78.70 60.10 0.00 19.40 2098.1
9 2 76.00 55.90 0.00 15.95 2114.1
9 3 73.40 57.50 0.00 15.45 2129.5
9 4 73.50 47.30 0.00 10.77 2140.3
9 5 74.50 54.70 0.00 14.60 2154.9 Vx
9 6 66.70 57.50 0.02 12.10 2167.0
9 7 78.50 57.90 0.00 18.20 2185.2
9 8 79.20 59.70 0.00 19.45 2204.7
9 9 79.60 52.20 0.00 15.90 2220.6
9 10 87.10 47.40 0.03 17.53 2238.1
9 11 75.10 56.20 0.00 15.65 2253.7 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
9 12 73.10 45.10 0.00 9.99 2263.7 Vx
9 13 71.70 37.70 0.00 7.97 2271.7
9 14 79.50 52.20 0.00 15.85 2287.5
9 15 81.20 53.00 0.05 17.10 2304.6
9 16 84.10 57.20 0.05 20.65 2325.3
9 17 73.60 63.80 0.00 18.70 2344.0
9 18 72.10 60.40 0.01 16.25 2360.2
9 19 68.00 59.00 0.00 13.50 2373.7 Vx
9 20 70.80 49.50 0.00 10.18 2383.9
9 21 63.80 43.80 0.00 5.32 2389.2
9 22 59.10 50.80 0.01 4.95 2394.2
9 23 67.40 53.80 0.00 10.60 2404.8
9 24 71.60 53.30 0.00 12.45 2417.2
9 25 83.90 53.20 0.00 18.55 2435.8
9 26 82.80 47.60 0.00 15.47 2451.3 Vx
9 27 81.50 63.30 0.04 22.40 2473.7
9 28 77.70 51.10 0.00 14.40 2488.1
9 29 80.30 48.00 0.00 14.36 2502.4
9 30 75.00 55.30 0.00 15.15 2517.6
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF25442 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
peach twig borer model - 2007 USU Ext.Location: 2016 MF25442 Burkes Klepper OR Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-30-16 | 65 | OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying |
6-6-16 | 220 | 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight |
6-14-16 | 360 | 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight |
6-24-16 | 503 | 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight |
7-2-16 | 701 | 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation |
7-21-16 | 1097 | 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight |
7-28-16 | 1281 | 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight |
8-6-16 | 1502 | 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight |
8-17-16 | 1760 | 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight |
9-11-16 | 2254 | 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight |